You’re checking in at a hotel. Two rooms are available, each with a different fire alarm. The manager tells you that if there’s a fire, you have a 2 percent chance of dying in Room 1. In Room 2, you only have a 1 percent chance.


Room 2's alarm is squirrelly. Its wiring may cause an electrical fire, which increases your chance of dying in Room 2 by an additional 0.01 percent.

Which room do you choose?